My job market paper “Does the EITC Pay for Itself? How the EITC Affects Tax Revenue and Public Assistance Spending” (draft available soon) uses newly available linked administrative data (CPS ASEC linked to IRS data) and the research design exploits three decades of plausibly exogenous Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) policy changes, which generate discontinuities in EITC eligibility over time based on family structure. We first test---and confirm---that the EITC increases maternal employment and earnings. Next, we show that this behavioral response increases the taxes paid and decreases the public assistance received by these mothers. We find that the EITC's net cost is at most 39 percent of the ``sticker price.'' We corroborate these individual-level results with state-level reports on aggregate employment and tax revenue. Furthermore, accounting for the present value of improved health, decreased crime, and improved outcomes of children of EITC recipients, we find that the EITC more than ``pays for itself.''
My dissertation was chosen as a winner of the 2017 Outstanding Doctoral Dissertations in Government Finance and Taxation by the National Tax Association.
I am a Post-Doctoral Scholar at the University of Chicago's Harris School of Public Policy. My research focuses on how public policy can reduce poverty, increase economic opportunity, and encourage egalitarian social attitudes, while identifying unintended consequences. Specifically, my current research looks at the EITC and finds that this program helped lead to the rise of working mothers in the 1970s (link), improved the education and employment outcomes of children of EITC recipients (link), changed social attitudes about the role of women in society (link), and had positive effects on marriage and fertility (link).
Before starting at the University of Chicago, I completed a Ph.D. in Economics at the University of Michigan, as well as an M.A. in Economics at New York University and a B.A. in Mathematics.